Atalanta II 2-0 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 32% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.34/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.80
+35% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-0
AWAY Caldiero Terme
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II beat Caldiero Terme 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Atalanta II had 62% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 38%, shots finished 20-15.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Caldiero Terme?

Atalanta II 2-0 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 60%, draw 19%, Caldiero Terme 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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