Taranto 0-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.75
Over 2.5
35%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+7.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.5pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
53%
+11.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
47%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 71%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.77/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.46
+5% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +44%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
223 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Benevento Benevento 6-0 HT 4-0 Taranto Taranto İTCK
28.01.2024 Taranto Taranto 2-2 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
21.09.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 2-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
0-2
AWAY Benevento
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento saw off Taranto 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Taranto had 40% of the ball to Benevento's 60%, shots finished 3-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Taranto and 3.33 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Benevento?

Taranto 0-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Taranto 19%, draw 28%, Benevento 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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