Taranto 2-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
37.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.13/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/0.63
+4% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 2-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
2-2
AWAY Benevento
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto and Benevento shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Taranto had 53% of the ball to Benevento's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Benevento?

Taranto 2-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Taranto 32%, draw 32%, Benevento 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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