Carrarese 5-1 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.00
+24% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
06.04.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 1-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
03.12.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
5-1
AWAY Sassari Torres
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese cruised past Sassari Torres 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Carrarese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrarese had 46% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 54%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Carrarese and 1.33 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Sassari Torres?

Carrarese 5-1 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 39%, draw 25%, Sassari Torres 36%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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