Triestina vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Triestina v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Triestina vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Triestina
İTC
1-2
HT 0-0
Triestina
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 0-0
Pergolettese
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Triestina
İTC
Triestina 1-1 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
Triestina and Pergolettese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Triestina had 48% of the ball to Pergolettese's 52%, shots finished 18-13.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Triestina and 1.00 for Pergolettese.
What was the final score of Triestina vs Pergolettese?
Triestina 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pergolettese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Triestina 52%, draw 26%, Pergolettese 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.