Olbia 1905 1-0 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.99/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2023 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
10.11.2019 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
1-0
AWAY Arezzo
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olbia 1905 edged past Arezzo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Olbia 1905 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 44% of the ball to Arezzo's 56%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olbia 1905 and 1.50 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Arezzo?

Olbia 1905 1-0 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 33%, draw 32%, Arezzo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arezzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5
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