Avellino 2-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.07
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.77/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.32
+25% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Avellino Avellino 2-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
21.05.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 5-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.10.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
20.10.2021 Catania Catania 2-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-2
AWAY Catania
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino and Catania shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Avellino had 54% of the ball to Catania's 46%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Avellino and 1.17 for Catania.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Catania?

Avellino 2-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avellino 45%, draw 27%, Catania 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Nov 2024
17:00 Pro Vercelli vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
17:00 Atalanta II vs Caldiero Terme Analysis →
17:00 Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
17:00 Trapani 1905 vs US Latina Analysis →
17:00 Taranto vs Benevento Analysis →
19:30 Lumezzane vs FeralpiSalo Analysis →