Avellino 2-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.04/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.59
+29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Catania
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.05.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.03.2024 Avellino Avellino 5-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.10.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
23.03.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
20.10.2021 Catania Catania 2-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
21.03.2021 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 2-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-1
AWAY Catania
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino nicked a narrow win over Catania 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avellino had 63% of the ball to Catania's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Avellino and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Catania?

Avellino 2-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Avellino 52%, draw 27%, Catania 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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