Carrarese 2-2 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
4.23
6+ Goals
12%
20.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.23 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.64/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventus II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 1-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
16.03.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
12.11.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
25.04.2021 Juventus II Juventus II 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
09.01.2021 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
13.07.2020 Carrarese Carrarese 2-2 HT 2-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-2
AWAY Juventus II
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Juventus II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Carrarese had 39% of the ball to Juventus II's 61%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carrarese and 0.83 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Juventus II?

Carrarese 2-2 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 47%, draw 23%, Juventus II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrarese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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