Sorrento 0-3 Perth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.05/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.47
+28% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Perth
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 2-3 HT 1-1 Perth Perth AVUSB
25.03.2023 Perth Perth 1-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
02.07.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Perth AVNPL
09.04.2022 Perth Perth 0-0 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
21.08.2021 Perth Perth 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
22.05.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Perth AVUSB
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Perth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth ran out comfortable winners over Sorrento 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Perth made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sorrento and 1.33 for Perth.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Perth?

Sorrento 0-3 Perth in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Perth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 37%, draw 21%, Perth 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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