Auckland 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 5 Apr 2025

Auckland
1-1 HT 1-0
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.59
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
9%
4.96
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
16%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
2/2
17%
5.25
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auckland v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 31%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.83
+8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.0 Crosses 14.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.08 xG 1.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
41 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS

Auckland 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
1-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.23 xG 0.81
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
238 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland and Western Sydney Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Auckland at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Auckland had 42% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 58%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 2.23 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Auckland 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Auckland 41%, draw 28%, Western Sydney Wanderers 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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