Western United vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Western United v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals
Western United vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Western United
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
Western United 3-1 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics
Western United saw off Perth Glory 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Western United had 47% of the ball to Perth Glory's 53%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.23 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western United had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Western United and 1.33 for Perth Glory.
What was the final score of Western United vs Perth Glory?
Western United 3-1 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Western United vs Perth Glory?
Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Western United 56%, draw 20%, Perth Glory 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.