Perth Glory vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Western United
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
Perth Glory 2-3 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Western United edged past Perth Glory 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, Perth Glory had 34% of the ball to Western United's 66%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.76 to 2.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Western United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth Glory and 2.17 for Western United.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Western United?
Perth Glory 2-3 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 31%, draw 27%, Western United 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.