Club Brugge II 2-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 28% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.37/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.21
+25% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.3 Crosses 23.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 2.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
439 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
12.04.2024 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-2 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
15.09.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge II
2-1
AWAY RFC Liege
1.42 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
329 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Brugge II vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge II nicked a narrow win over RFC Liege 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Club Brugge II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Club Brugge II had 55% of the ball to RFC Liege's 45%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.42 to 1.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured RFC Liege.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Club Brugge II vs RFC Liege?

Club Brugge II 2-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge II vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge II 34%, draw 27%, RFC Liege 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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