Cercle Brugge 2-1 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.8
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.6
X/1
16%
3.87
X/2
6%
13.15
X/X
8%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
2/2
8%
11.25
2/X
7%
20.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
2.16/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.20
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.7 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.39 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
257 Passes 238
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-2 HT 0-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
11.08.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 3-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
09.11.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEK
19.02.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.07.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.04.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge edged past Beerschot VA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cercle Brugge as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.00 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA?

Cercle Brugge 2-1 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 57%, draw 23%, Beerschot VA 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cercle Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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