Westerlo 2-2 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
8%
4.75
X/2
12%
8.4
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
10%
22.45
2/2
9%
6.01
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
2.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.43
+27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.2 Crosses 13.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
387 Passes 253
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.08.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
25.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
03.02.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
04.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-2
AWAY OH Leuven
1.45 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
338 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and OH Leuven shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Westerlo had 52% of the ball to OH Leuven's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.45 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 1.00 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Westerlo 2-2 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 47%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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