Gent 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.3
1/2
8%
22.45
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
9%
8.58
X/2
15%
4.61
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.42
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
1.23/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.27
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
18.1 Crosses 17.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Gent Gent 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
04.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEK
19.10.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
10.03.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
26.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
08.04.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
0-3
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.39 xG 2.30
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
487 Passes 245
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise swept aside Gent 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gent had 63% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 37%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.39 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Gent 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gent 28%, draw 28%, Union Saint-Gilloise 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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