Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Gent — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
1-1
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
4-0
HT 3-0
Gent
BEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Gent
BEL
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 Gent — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Gent 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 46% of the ball to Gent's 54%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 3.77 to 1.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.50 for Gent.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 Gent in the Belgium - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 56%, draw 18%, Gent 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.