Cercle Brugge 0-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.22/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-18% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.98 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
194 Passes 328
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.11.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
11.12.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past Cercle Brugge 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Cercle Brugge 0-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 48%, draw 24%, St. Truidense 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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