Beerschot VA 2-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 4 Dec 2024

Beerschot VA
2-2 HT 0-0
Mechelen
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Belgium - Cup – 2024/2025

Beerschot VA vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.9
Over 2.5
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+8.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.5pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 53%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-52% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Beerschot VA vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Mechelen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
06.02.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 3-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
17.10.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
14.02.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.02.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEK
29.11.2020 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA and Mechelen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beerschot VA and 2.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Mechelen?

Beerschot VA 2-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Cup on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 34%, draw 26%, Mechelen 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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