Mechelen 3-0 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Nov 2024

Mechelen
3-0 HT 1-0
Beerschot VA
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Mechelen vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.4
X/1
18%
3.7
X/2
7%
13.9
X/X
7%
6.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.05
2/2
8%
10.35
2/X
7%
18.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.34
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
406 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
21.8 Crosses 12.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mechelen vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.46 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 3-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
17.10.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
14.02.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.02.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEK
29.11.2020 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 2-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen ran out comfortable winners over Beerschot VA 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Mechelen and 1.20 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Beerschot VA?

Mechelen 3-0 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 58%, draw 22%, Beerschot VA 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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