Westerlo 4-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.39
X/2
9%
9.33
X/X
16%
5.82
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
7%
6.38
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.89/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.33
+10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.4 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.58 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.10.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
11.03.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
22.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
26.12.2016 Westerlo Westerlo 4-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
10.09.2016 Kortrijk Kortrijk 4-1 HT 3-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
4-0
AWAY Kortrijk
3.32 xG 0.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
254 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo swept aside Kortrijk 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Westerlo had 51% of the ball to Kortrijk's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.32 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Westerlo and 1.17 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Kortrijk?

Westerlo 4-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 48%, draw 31%, Kortrijk 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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