OH Leuven 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Nov 2024

OH Leuven
1-1 HT 1-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
6.47
1/2
4%
29.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
13%
7.75
X/2
15%
4.2
X/X
19%
4.0
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
2.73
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
24%
+13.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
48%
-16.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OH Leuven v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.45/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.19
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
15.4 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.74 xG 2.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.08.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
21.01.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
01.10.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
11.03.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-4 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
26.11.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL

OH Leuven 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.58 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Union Saint-Gilloise shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, OH Leuven had 49% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for OH Leuven and 2.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

OH Leuven 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 38%, draw 32%, Union Saint-Gilloise 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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