Cercle Brugge 1-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.57
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.52
X/2
11%
7.8
X/X
16%
4.92
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
9%
5.57
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.91/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.63
+19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.1 Crosses 12.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.11 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 296
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
27.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-1 HT 2-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
12.11.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
11.12.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
28.08.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and St. Truidense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.67 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 47%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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