Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.35
X/1
18%
3.44
X/2
5%
16.4
X/X
11%
6.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.6
2/2
10%
13.6
2/X
8%
21.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 13% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.03
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.8 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.33 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
376 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
12.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
23.04.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-4 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
13.08.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
05.03.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
14.08.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3-0
AWAY Kortrijk
2.45 xG 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise swept aside Kortrijk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 52% of the ball to Kortrijk's 48%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.45 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.00 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Kortrijk?

Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 55%, draw 24%, Kortrijk 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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