Westerlo 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.05
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
12%
5.28
X/2
10%
6.59
X/X
15%
5.2
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.16
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.66/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.39
+6% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.0 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
416 Passes 265
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
03.02.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
04.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.07.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.31 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
360 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo and OH Leuven shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Westerlo had 56% of the ball to OH Leuven's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.31 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 1.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Westerlo 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 40%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Westerlo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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