Lokomotiv Gomel 3-3 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.21
+26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.09.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
10.09.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.07.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
30.05.2020 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel and FC Volna Pinsk couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 1.67 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Lokomotiv Gomel 3-3 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 31%, draw 25%, FC Volna Pinsk 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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