Guabira 5-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Apr 2025

Guabira
5-2 HT 2-1
Aurora
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2025

Guabira vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guabira v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.42/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.20
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
13.5 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Guabira vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 227
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.09.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.09.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Guabira 5-2 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
5-2
AWAY Aurora
1.25 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
189 Passes 167
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira swept aside Aurora 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Guabira made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guabira had 53% of the ball to Aurora's 47%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guabira and 1.17 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Aurora?

Guabira 5-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guabira 37%, draw 30%, Aurora 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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