Delfin 1-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Apr 2025

Delfin
1-1 HT 1-0
Aucas
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Delfin vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Aucas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
0.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
-33% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
13.3 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Delfin vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aucas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.72 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
201 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.05.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.11.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.06.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.07.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.02.2022 Aucas Aucas 3-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1

Delfin 1-1 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-1
AWAY Aucas
1.63 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
257 Passes 245
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin and Aucas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aucas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 49% of the ball to Aucas's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Delfin and 0.83 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Aucas?

Delfin 1-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Delfin 32%, draw 27%, Aucas 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aucas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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