Aucas 2-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Nov 2024

Aucas
2-0 HT 1-0
Delfin
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.80/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.70
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 71%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
19.2 Crosses 11.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Delfin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 201
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.11.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.06.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.07.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.02.2022 Aucas Aucas 3-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
19.09.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-2 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
2-0
AWAY Delfin
3.22 xG 0.86
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
405 Passes 207
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
47 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas saw off Delfin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Aucas had 64% of the ball to Delfin's 36%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 3.22 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aucas and 0.83 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Delfin?

Aucas 2-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aucas 54%, draw 21%, Delfin 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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