Uni. Catolica 2-4 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Nov 2024

Uni. Catolica
2-4 HT 0-3
LDU Quito
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.29/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.12
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
16.0 Crosses 14.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.14 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
274 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.05.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
25.07.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-0 HT 3-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
06.03.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
08.08.2021 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-4 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-4
AWAY LDU Quito
2.63 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
317 Passes 146
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito beat Uni. Catolica 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day LDU Quito made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 66% of the ball to LDU Quito's 34%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.63 to 0.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Uni. Catolica.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.83 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Uni. Catolica 2-4 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 38%, draw 29%, LDU Quito 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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