LDU Quito 2-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.57/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.3 Crosses 15.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
363 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-4 HT 0-3 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
25.07.2022 Uni. Catolica 4-0 HT 3-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
06.03.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
08.08.2021 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
07.03.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.51 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 330
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito squeezed past Uni. Catolica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 49% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.51 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for LDU Quito and 1.33 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

LDU Quito 2-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 43%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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