Delfin 2-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 May 2024

Delfin
2-0 HT 1-0
Aucas
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Delfin vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Delfin v Aucas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.04/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.47
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
13.9 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5

Delfin vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.06.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
19.07.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
26.02.2022 Aucas Aucas 3-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
19.09.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-2 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
31.03.2021 Aucas Aucas 3-3 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1

Delfin 2-0 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
2-0
AWAY Aucas
1.24 xG 0.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
132 Passes 305
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin beat Aucas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Delfin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Delfin had 35% of the ball to Aucas's 65%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.24 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Delfin and 1.33 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Aucas?

Delfin 2-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Delfin 36%, draw 26%, Aucas 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aucas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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