Independiente Del Valle 7-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.71/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.64
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
18.7 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Macara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.62 xG 0.83
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 166
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
25.09.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
10.05.2022 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.08.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 4-0 HT 2-0 Macara Macara EKV1
28.02.2021 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
21.12.2020 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
7-0
AWAY Macara
3.38 xG 0.68
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
556 Passes 205
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle swept aside Macara 7-0. Half-time: 6-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 69% of the ball to Macara's 31%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.38 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Macara?

Independiente Del Valle 7-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 62%, draw 24%, Macara 14%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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