Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mushuc Runa v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mushuc Runa 2-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa and El Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. From 2-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
This one beat our numbers. Mushuc Runa carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, El Nacional saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.98.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Mushuc Runa against 1.67 for El Nacional.
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Result & Final Score
Mushuc Runa 2 - 2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 59%, draw 22%, El Nacional 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa) went the other way.