Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
3-2
El Nacional
EKVK
Mushuc Runa 2-2 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa and El Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 45% of the ball to El Nacional's 55%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.67 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Mushuc Runa 2-2 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 50%, draw 24%, El Nacional 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.