Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.23/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.63
+23% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sidama Bunna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.01.2025 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
21.04.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 HT 0-0 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2-1
AWAY Sidama Bunna
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank squeezed past Sidama Bunna 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Nigd Bank found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 36% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 64%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ethiopia Nigd Bank and 0.50 for Sidama Bunna.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36%, draw 32%, Sidama Bunna 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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