Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.06
+11% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.6 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
0W-5D-1L
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
07.05.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-2 HT 1-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
20.08.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
05.02.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
19.10.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-2 HT 1-2 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
05.04.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-0 HT 0-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-1
AWAY TS Galaxy
2.15 xG 2.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
255 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs and TS Galaxy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kaizer Chiefs at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 56% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.15 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TS Galaxy led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 1.00 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs TS Galaxy?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 41%, draw 31%, TS Galaxy 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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