Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
13%
5.22
6+ Goals
5%
33.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 40% vs market 38.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
0.95/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.76
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
11.5 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.57 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
179 Passes 382
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
02.03.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
27.10.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
07.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-4 HT 0-4 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
26.11.2019 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-2 HT 1-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
28.02.2015 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 3-1 HT 3-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.22 xG 1.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
211 Passes 389
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Polokwane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Polokwane City had 38% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.22 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Polokwane City and 2.50 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Polokwane City 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 27%, draw 27%, Orlando Pirates 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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