Marumo Gallants 1-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

Marumo Gallants
1-1 HT 0-1
SuperSport United
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Marumo Gallants vs SuperSport United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.61
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marumo Gallants v SuperSport United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
0.92/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.11
-31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
15.2 Crosses 24.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Marumo Gallants vs SuperSport United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SuperSport United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 1.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-1 HT 0-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
18.04.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
30.12.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
23.04.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.11.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-2 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
12.05.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL

Marumo Gallants 1-1 SuperSport United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-1
AWAY SuperSport United
0.62 xG 1.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
243 Passes 229
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
10 Box Touches 32
26 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants and SuperSport United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SuperSport United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 52% of the ball to SuperSport United's 48%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.62 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marumo Gallants and 0.50 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs SuperSport United?

Marumo Gallants 1-1 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated an SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 29%, draw 29%, SuperSport United 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SuperSport United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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