Havadar 2-0 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.53
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
6.91
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 53%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.66/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
188 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Malavan FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
01.11.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
06.05.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
24.11.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
30.03.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Havadar Havadar IRAN
14.10.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar got the better of Malavan FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Malavan FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Havadar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Havadar and 0.60 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Malavan FC?

Havadar 2-0 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Havadar 23%, draw 27%, Malavan FC 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malavan FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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