Aluminium Arak 1-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
33%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
12%
5.83
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Draw Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.0pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.7pp
32%
Away Win
49%
-16.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.65/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.76
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sepahan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.11.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
28.05.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
24.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
28.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
10.09.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
02.06.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Sepahan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.67 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 31%, draw 36%, Sepahan 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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