Persepolis 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
65%
1.75
Over 2.5
35%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 37% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-16.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
53%
+11.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
47%
-11.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.8pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.68/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.62
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
27.02.2025 Persepolis Persepolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
25.09.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
24.05.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 4-3 HT 0-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
13.03.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
19.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis and Esteghlal Khuzestan played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Persepolis carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Persepolis and 1.17 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Persepolis 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 55%, draw 25%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Persepolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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