Montedio Yamagata 0-0 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Apr 2025

Montedio Yamagata
0-0 HT 0-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montedio Yamagata v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.17
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.2 Crosses 20.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.07.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-3 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
04.03.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
17.07.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-2 HT 0-2 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
25.04.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
27.09.2020 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
23.02.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 2-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2

Montedio Yamagata 0-0 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
0-0
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 457
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata and Jubilo Iwata fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 40% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 60%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.33 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata?

Montedio Yamagata 0-0 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 40%, draw 26%, Jubilo Iwata 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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