Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
2.79/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.57
+82% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Ehime FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 151
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
47 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
24.03.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
05.12.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
03.10.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.07.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-1
AWAY Ehime FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
219 Passes 228
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi and Ehime FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 45% of the ball to Ehime FC's 55%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ehime FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.33 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 47%, draw 23%, Ehime FC 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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