Sagan Tosu 1-0 Fujieda MYFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 32%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.55
-29% / -73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 16.5
Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
1-0
AWAY Fujieda MYFC
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 307
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu edged past Fujieda MYFC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Sagan Tosu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 44% of the ball to Fujieda MYFC's 56%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?

Sagan Tosu 1-0 Fujieda MYFC in the Japan - J2 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 39%, draw 28%, Fujieda MYFC 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagan Tosu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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