Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.29/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.60
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
214 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 32.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.03.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
05.12.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.06.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
03.10.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.07.2020 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
14.09.2019 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 2-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
1-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
151 Passes 302
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC and Renofa Yamaguchi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ehime FC had 40% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 60%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ehime FC and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 26%, draw 29%, Renofa Yamaguchi 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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