Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 32% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -26%
1.49/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.65
-4% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 21.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
424 Passes 297
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis edged past Kagoshima United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Tokushima Vortis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 53% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 47%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Kagoshima United?

Tokushima Vortis 1-0 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 39%, draw 29%, Kagoshima United 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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