JEF United 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Nov 2024

JEF United
1-2 HT 1-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.2 Crosses 11.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 265
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.05.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
12.11.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-3 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
18.02.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.09.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
28.08.2021 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
15.05.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
1-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Match summary & frequently asked questions

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past JEF United 2-1 away from home in the Japan - J2 League on 3 Nov 2024. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, JEF United had 52% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 48%, shots finished 16-12.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JEF United and 1.17 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

JEF United 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United 43%, draw 28%, V-Varen Nagasaki 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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