Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.04/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.47
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.3 Crosses 7.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
5.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 2-3 HT 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
21.10.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 1-7 HT 1-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
07.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 9-1 HT 3-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
12.07.2017 Iwaki Iwaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0
AWAY Iwaki
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 1
285 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse edged past Iwaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 53% of the ball to Iwaki's 47%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 5.25 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.00 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Iwaki?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 46%, draw 28%, Iwaki 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
3 Nov 2024
07:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
08:00 Oita Trinita vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
08:00 JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →