Matsumoto Yamaga 0-5 Kochi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kochi United EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0-5
AWAY Kochi United
64% Ball Possession 36%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
323 Passes 102
71% Pass Accuracy 55%
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kochi United swept aside Matsumoto Yamaga 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 64% of the ball to Kochi United's 36%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United?

Matsumoto Yamaga 0-5 Kochi United in the Japan - J3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kochi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 46%, draw 21%, Kochi United 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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